site.btaGallup Poll Shows Signs of Ruling Majority Consolidation in June

The latest nationwide survey by Gallup International Balkan, conducted between May 28 and June 4, suggests a degree of consolidation within Bulgaria’s ruling majority and stabilization among leading political parties, the agency said on Tuesday. 

The main political shifts appear among radical and anti-establishment players. The poll is representative of the adult population in Bulgaria and includes 1,204 interviews.

When asked which party they would support if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, 24.5% of respondents backed GERB–UDF, confirming the coalition's continued lead. 

Gallup reports that opposition attempts to erode government backing—such as criticism regarding the planned adoption of the euro—have had limited impact. On the contrary, this discourse may be strengthening unity within the ruling coalition.

Second in the poll is the Movement for Rights and Freedoms – New Beginning (MRF–New Beginning), with 15.7% support. The increase is attributed to internal restructuring, recruitment of influential local leaders, and the resolution of a legal dispute over the party's name, which helped strengthen its public image.

The Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria (CC–DB) coalition registers 14.2% support. Analysts point to the coalition’s internal fragmentation and mixed messaging as limiting factors. A recent example is the divide over a potential no-confidence vote, while CC signals readiness to pursue it after EU decisions on the euro, DB appears hesitant.

The nationalist Vazrazhdane party has 13.4% support, primarily due to its opposition to the planned euro adoption in 2026.

The Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) records 7% support, showing relative stabilization. Its participation in Government appears to have halted its previous downward trend.

The Morality, Unity, Honor (MECh) party has 5.5% support, followed by There Is Such a People (TISP) at 5.1%.

The Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (ARF) has declined to 3.9%, likely due to competition from MRF–New Beginning and perceptions of inconsistency, such as its short participation in the governing coalition.

The Velichie party is polling at 3.7%. Analysts suggest that the party’s unclear messaging may be restricting its voter appeal.