site.btaTrend Poll: Unclear Winner, Contested Third Place in Upcoming Elections

The data from a national representative survey of the Trend agency shows an unclear winner and a contested third place in the upcoming parliamentary elections on April 2. Five formations are certain to be represented in the next National Assembly and two are close to the four percent barrier.  

Trend points out that there are three main questions with no definite answer - who will be the winner of the elections, which formation will take the third place, and how many formations will get parliamentary representation.  

The parity between the GERB-UDF coalition (26.4% of the voters) and Continue the Change - Democratic Bulgaria (26.1% of the voters) remains, analysts said. The difference in support between MRF and Vazrazhdane is half a percentage point, 13.7% and 13.3% of voters respectively. BSP for Bulgaria is in a secure fifth position, with 7.3% of the vote.

Among the smaller formations, the coalition The Left! has the best chance of representation in the 49th National Assembly (3.6% of voters), followed by Bulgarian Rise (3.5% of voters). There is Such a People gathers about 3%. The option "I do not support anyone" was indicated by 5.2% of those who participated in the poll.

Of all poll participants, 48% said they would vote.