site.btaTrend Poll: Iotova-Valchev Presidential Ticket Leads with 47.8%, Gurov-Kandev at 24.6%; Runoff Certain

The presidential ticket of Iliana Iotova and Kiril Valchev is supported by 47.8% of those who say they will vote in the upcoming presidential election, while 24.6% would vote for Andrey Gurov and Georgi Kandev, making a runoff certain based on the expected voter turnout, according to a poll conducted for Trend Research Center, released here on Tuesday.

The candidates of Vazrazhdane, Kostadin Kostadinov and Petar Volgin, rank third with 9.7% support. The MЕCh ticket of Radostin Vassilev and Krasimir Manov has 4.6%, while Ivеlin Mihaylov and Yuliana Mateeva of Velichie rank fifth with 2.4%. Ivan Hristanov and Stoyanka Cherkezova rank sixth with 1.9%.

The poll was commissioned by the 24 Chasa newspaper and conducted between September 26 and October 2, 2026, through standardized face-to-face interviews using tablets among 1,003 people aged 18 and over. The maximum margin of error is ±3.1%.

Two-thirds of Bulgarians (66%) consider the upcoming presidential elections important, with 29% describing them as very important and 37% as rather important.

Among adult Bulgarian citizens living in the country, 38%, or slightly more than 2 million people, say they will definitely vote on October 25, while 20% are still undecided about whether to vote, according to the poll.

Trend noted that it has not registered significant changes in the electoral picture over the past month. Progressive Bulgaria remains the leading political formation, supported by 40.8% of those who say they would vote in a parliamentary election. GERB ranks second with 14.2%.

Continue the Change and Democratic Bulgaria rank third and fourth, with 7.6% and 6.5%, respectively, among those saying they would vote in a parliamentary election. The Movement for Rights and Freedoms has 6.2%, followed by Vazrazhdane with 5.7%.

MЕCh (3.8%) and the Bulgarian Socialist Party (3.6%) are close to the parliamentary threshold, followed by Velichie with 2.7% and Siyanie [Radiance] with 2.2%, the research center said.