site.btaNext Parliament Likely to Be Comprised of 7 Formations - Mediana Poll
Data as of March 23, 2023, shows that the next National Assembly is likely to be comprised of seven political formations, according to a poll by Mediana agency published on Friday. At the moment, GERB-UDF is the leader, while Continue the Change - Democratic Bulgaria (CC-DB) trail by about 2%.
CC-DB has so far failed to fully consolidate the previous voters of the two main formations in it, Mediana said.
Vazrazhdane is a third political force with potential to grow further. The Movement for Rights and Freedoms is fourth, with a significant share of its votes expected to be cast abroad. The BSP appears to have stemmed the tumultuous outflow of supporters for now, but the number of hesitant voters has increased significantly, which is not typical for the Socialists, Mediana points out.
The data showed Bulgarian Rise with 4.5% and The Left! with 4.3% above the 4% threshold to enter the parliament. There Is Such a People are under the threshold with 3.4%.
This data is not election forecasts but aims to show the electoral attitudes as of March 23. Some 10% of voters, who confirm they may go to the polls, have not firmly decided whether they will do so and for whom they will vote. Those are about 250,000 undecided potential voters who could dramatically change the current picture, experts say.
The April 2 election is expected to have very low turnout with some 2.5 million voters.
The poll was conducted between March 17 and 22 among 978 adults. It did not take into account overseas voting, which could have a significant swing on the election, Mediana noted.