site.btaFive Political Forces Would Win Seats If Elections Were Held Today, Alpha Research and Market Links Surveys Show

If the elections were held today, five parties would enter the 52nd National Assembly, according to surveys conducted by the sociological agencies Alpha Research and Market Links, published on the bTV website. The surveys were presented in the special bTV programme "Elections 2026. Bulgaria Decides."

The Alpha Research data come from a representative survey of the 18 or over population of the country, conducted by the agency and funded by bTV. The sample size was 1,000 people. A stratified two-stage sample with quotas based on key socio-demographic characteristics was used. Information was collected through face-to-face standardized interviews with tablets at respondents' homes. The survey was conducted on March 12-20.

Market Links data come from a national survey funded and conducted jointly by bTV and Market Links. The survey was carried out among 1,008 individuals aged 18 or over on March 17-21, using a combination of face-to-face interviews and online questionnaires.

According to Alpha Research, Progressive Bulgaria would receive 29.4% of the vote, followed by GERB-UDF with 20.7%. 

Continue the Change - Democratic Bulgaria (CC-DB) would place third with 11.5%, while the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (MRF) would come fourth with 9.9%. Vazrazhdane is the fifth party expected to pass the 4% electoral threshold with 6.8%.

Several political forces have a realistic chance of crossing the 4% threshold. Among those who have decided whom to vote for, 3.8% indicated BSP - United Left, and MECh has 3.3%. Next are the Siyanie coalition with 2.4% and Velichie with 2.2%.

The Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (ARF), There Is Such a People (TISP) and Blue Bulgaria are all below 2% of the vote, according to Alpha Research.

According to Market Links, among likely voters Progressive Bulgaria receives 24.4%, GERB-UDF 18.6%, and CC-DB 11.1%. MRF has 8.8%, and Vazrazhdane 4.6%.

Market Links data show BSP at 3.1%, MECh at 2.7%, and Velichie at 2%. Blue Bulgaria, Siyanie, ARF and TISP all remain below 2%.

Both agencies predict voter turnout not seen in recent years for parliamentary elections, exceeding 54%.

Among the leading issues that respondents believe should be addressed by MPs in their first 100 days are income and living standards, as well as prices and inflation. According to respondents, political forces do not address the real problems.

Assessment of the country's development is similar in both surveys: 72% say that the country has been moving in the wrong direction over the past year.